| | TABLE OF CONTENTS: Which Way Forward for Macroeconomics and Policy Analysis? 1 Roman Frydman and Edmund S. Phelps PART ONE Back to the Foundations 1 Expectational Coordination Failures and Market Volatility 49 Roger Guesnerie 2 Learning as a Rational Foundation for Macroeconomics and Finance 68 George W. Evans and Seppo Honkapohja 3 Keynes on Knowledge, Expectations, and Rationality 112 Sheila Dow 4 The Imperfect Knowledge Imperative in Modern Macroeconomics and Finance Theory 130 Roman Frydman and Michael D. Goldberg PART TWO Autonomous Expectations in Long Swings in Asset Prices 5 Heterogeneous Gain Learning and Long Swings in Asset Prices 169 Blake LeBaron 6 Opening Models of Asset Prices and Risk to Nonroutine Change 207 Roman Frydman and Michael D. Goldberg PART THREE Rethinking Unemployment-Inflation Trade-offs and the Natural Rate Theory 7 Animal Spirits, Persistent Unemployment, and the Belief Function 251 Roger E. A. Farmer 8 Indeterminacies in Wage and Asset Price Expectations 277 Edmund S. Phelps 9 The Long Swings of Employment, Investment, and Asset Prices 301 Gylfi Zoega 10 Imperfect Knowledge, Asset Price Swings, and Structural Slumps 328 Katarina Juselius 11 Stabilization Policies and Economic Growth 351 Philippe Aghion and Enisse Kharroubi PART FOUR Policymaking after "Rational Expectations" 12 Swings and the Rules-Discretion Balance 373 John B. Taylor 13 Principled Policymaking in an Uncertain World 389 Michael Woodford Contributors 415 Index 421 Return to Book Description File created: 4/25/2013 |