| Preface: Beyond the Null Hypothesis | |
| 1 | An Ecological Scenario and the Tools of the Ecological Detective | 3 |
| 2 | Alternative Views of the Scientific Method and of Modeling | 12 |
| 3 | Probability and Probability Models: Know Your Data | 39 |
| 4 | Incidental Catch in Fisheries: Seabirds in the New Zealand Squid Trawl Fishery | 94 |
| 5 | The Confrontation: Sum of Squares | 106 |
| 6 | The Evolutionary Ecology of Insect Oviposition Behavior | 118 |
| 7 | The Confrontation: Likelihood and Maximum Likelihood | 131 |
| 8 | Conservation Biology of Wildebeest in the Serengeti | 180 |
| 9 | The Confrontation: Bayesian Goodness of Fit | 203 |
| 10 | Management of Hake Fisheries in Namibia Motivation | 235 |
| 11 | The Confrontation: Understanding How the Best Fit Is Found | 263 |
| Appendix | "The Method of Multiple Working Hypotheses" | 281 |
| References | 295 |
| Index | 309 |
