| | TABLE OF CONTENTS: Foreword ix Overview: The United States and Korea xiii PART I: Will North Korea Collapse? 1 Chapter 1: The Paralysis of American Policy 3 Chapter 2: Nationalism and the "Permanent Siege Mentality" 8 Chapter 3: The Confucian Legacy 21 Chapter 4: Reform by Stealth 25 Chapter 5: Gold, Oil, and the Basket-Case Image 48 Chapter 6: Kim Jong Il and His Successors 53 PART II: Reunification: Postponing the Dream 67 Chapter 7: Trading Places 69 Chapter 8: Confederation or Absorption? 74 Chapter 9: The United States and Reunification 102 PART III: Toward U.S. Disengagement 111 Chapter 10: Tripwire 113 Chapter 11: The United States and the Military Balance 124 Chapter 12: New Opportunities for Arms Control 138 Chapter 13: Ending the Korean War 154 Chapter 14: The Tar Baby Syndrome 174 Chapter 15: Guidelines for U.S. Policy 190 PART IV: Toward a Nuclear-Free Korea 195 Chapter 16: The U.S. Nuclear Challenge to North Korea 197 Chapter 17: The North Korean Response 201 Chapter 18: The 1994 Compromise: Can It Survive? 215 Chapter 19: Japan and Nuclear Weapons 231 Chapter 20: South Korea and Nuclear Weapons 245 Chapter 21: Guidelines for U.S. Policy 257 PART V: Korea in Northeast Asia 285 Chapter 22: Will History Repeat Itself? 287 Chapter 23: Korea, Japan, and the United States 290 Chapter 24: Korea, China, and the United States 306 Chapter 25: Korea, Russia, and the United States 328 Chapter 26: Then and Now: The Case for a Neutral Korea 347 Notes to the Chapters 357 Index 393
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