| | TABLE OF CONTENTS: List of Figures ix
List of Tables xi
Preface xv
Chapter 1: Introduction 1
PART I. FACTS AND FICTION IN ECONOMETRICS 31
Chapter 2: The Construction of Social Reality 33
Chapter 3: The Social Construction of Reality 52
Chapter 4: Facts and Fiction in Econometrics 71
PART II. THEORIZING IN ECONOMICS 93
Chapter 5: Theories and Models 95
Chapter 6: The Purport of an Economic Theory 117
Chapter 7: Rationality in Economics 143
Chapter 8: Topological Artifacts and Life in Large Economies 168
PART III. THEORY-DATA CONFRONTATIONS IN ECONOMICS 191
Chapter 9: Rational Animals and Sample Populations 193
Chapter 10: The Theory Universe 216
Chapter 11: The Data Universe 237
Chapter 12: The Bridge Principles 262
PART IV. DATA ANALYSES 283
Chapter 13: Frequentist Analogues of Priors and Posteriors Tore Schweder and Nils Lid Hjort 285
Chapter 14: On the COLS and CGMM Moment Estimation Methods for Frontier Production Models Harald E. Goldstein 318
Chapter 15: Congruence and Encompassing Christophe Bontemps and Grayham E. Mizon 354
Chapter 16: New Developments in Automatic General-to-Specific Modeling David F. Hendry and Hans-Martin Krolzig 379
PART V. EMPIRICAL RELEVANCE 421
Chapter 17: Conjectures, Theories, and Their Empirical Relevance 423
Chapter 18: Probability versus Capacity in Choice under Uncertainty 458
Chapter 19: Evaluation of Theories and Models Clive W. J. Granger 480
PART VI. DIAGNOSTICS AND SCIENTIFIC EXPLANATION 497
Chapter 20: Diagnoses and Defaults in Artificial Intelligence and Economics 499
Appendix: Section 20.3 from a Logical Point of View by Herman Ruge Jervell 520
Chapter 21: Explanations of an Empirical Puzzle: What Can Be Learned from a Test of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis? Heather M. Anderson 525
Chapter 22: Scientific Explanation in Economics 558
Chapter 23: Scientific Explanation in Econometrics: A Case Study Heather M. Anderson, Bernt P. Stigum, and Geir Olve Storvik 578
PART VII. CONTEMPORARY ECONOMETRIC ANALYSES 611
Chapter 24: Handling the Measurement Error Problem by Means of Panel Data: Moment Methods Applied on Firm Data Erik Biørn 613
Chapter 25: On Bayesian Structural Inference in a Simultaneous Equation Model Herman K. van Dijk 642
Chapter 26: An Econometric Analysis of Residential Electric Appliance Holdings and Consumption Jeffrey A. Dubin and Daniel L. McFadden 683
Chapter 27: Econometric Methods for Applied General Equilibrium Analysis Dale W. Jorgenson 702
Index 755
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