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Trust and Mistrust in International Relations
Andrew H. Kydd

Book Description | Reviews
Chapter 1 [HTML] or [PDF format]


List of Figures xi
List of Tables xiii
Acknowledgments xv

PART I Trust and International Relations

CHAPTER 1: Introduction 3
Defining Trust 6
Trust and International Relations 12
Methodology 22
A Road Map 25
Conclusion 26
CHAPTER 2: Trust and the Security Dilemma 28
The Security Dilemma Game 29
Introducing Uncertainty 34
Equilibria with Uncertainty 36
Achieving Cooperation 38
The Effects of Cooperation and Noncooperation 41
Conclusion 44
Appendix 45

PART II Fear and the Origins of the Cold War

CHAPTER 3: The Spiral of Fear 49
The Spiral Model 50
The Spiral Game 52
Equilibria in the Spiral Game 59
Defection and Fear 63
The External Observer's Perspective 68
Conclusion 77
Appendix 77

CHAPTER 4: The Origins of Mistrust: 1945-50 79
Explaining the Origins of the Cold War 80
Setting the Stage: Motivations and Beliefs in 1945 87
The Fate of Poland 92
Bulgaria and Romania 98
The Iranian Crisis 101
The Turkish Crisis 105
The Truman Doctrine 108
Hungary and Czechoslovakia 110
The Korean War 113
Conclusion 115

PART III European Cooperation and the Rebirth of Germany

CHAPTER 5: Trust, Hegemony, and Cooperation 119
Multilateral Cooperation 120
The Multilateral Trust Game 123
Equilibria in the Game 132
The Payoffs and Cooperation 134
Geography and Mistrust 136
Hegemony and Cooperation 137
Conclusion 139
Appendix 140

CHAPTER 6: European Cooperation and Germany, 1945-55 142
Explaining European Cooperation 143
The Road to Bizonia 149
The Origins of the Western Bloc: 1947 156
The Brussels Pact and the London Accords 162
The Birth of NATO and West Germany 165
German Rearmament 168
The Death of the EDC and the NATO Solution 173
The Perspectives Revisited 177
Conclusion 178

PART IV Reassurance and the End of the Cold War

CHAPTER 7: Reassurance 183
Reassurance in International Relations 184
The Reassurance Game 188
Equilibria in the Reassurance Game 190
Costly Signals versus Cheap Talk 197
The Size of the Signal 198
When Reassurance Works 200
Conclusion 204
Appendix 205

CHAPTER 8: The End of the Cold War: 1985-91 214

Explaining the End of the Cold War 215
New Thinking before 1985 223
The Advent of Gorbachev 225
The INF Treaty 227
Afghanistan, Liberalization, and the UN Speech 230
The Sinatra Doctrine 234
Less Socialism, More Unity 237
The End of the Soviet Union and the Russian Empire 240
The Depth of Trust 242
Conclusion 244

PART V Trust and Mistrust in the Post-Cold War Era

CHAPTER 9: Conclusion 247
The Solitary Superpower 248
The Post-Cold War Decade 251
The Twenty-first Century 252

Bibliography 257
Index 279

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File created: 4/21/2017

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