Jeff Madrick, author of The Case for Big Government, and Jim Pinkerton of Fox News held a debate on Bloggingheads.tv earlier this month. The subject of their discussion? Is the American government capable of getting us out of the current financial debacle.
by Jessica Pellien | Filed in: Business - Finance | 9:36am EST
Amar Bhide, Glaubinger Professor at Columbia Business School and author of The Venturesome Economy, has a fascinating article posted at Business Week in which he argues that the mess we’re in started with financial theories that substituted banking innovation for due diligence and sensible regulation. Amar’s work was also featured this past weekend in the New York Times Magazine‘s Consumed column.
A longer version of the article is also available at Amar’s site.
“Where enterprise leads,” wrote British economist Joan Robinson in 1952, “finance follows.” But now finance has led industry—into a ravine. It didn’t start with the recent missteps of bankers, rating agencies, and mortgage brokers. Finance has been on the wrong trajectory for more than a half-century: The current crisis has deep historical roots in financial theories that regarded diversification as a substitute for due diligence—and in a dysfunctional regulatory system.
Commercial banking’s diversification, its expansion beyond traditional lending, has been disastrous. What’s needed now is a Glass-Steagall Act for the 21st century—rules requiring banks to focus simply on taking deposits and granting loans. This would protect depositors, limit financial-risk contagion, and allow the FDIC and the Federal Reserve to do what they do best. Others—hedge funds, private equity firms—would face no further regulation.
How did the banks’ recklessness, masked as innovation, evolve? Until the 1930s, economists had two views of uncertainty. John Maynard Keynes and Frank Knight (who then dominated the University of Chicago’s economics department) treated uncertainties as elements that couldn’t be quantified.Followers of the 18th century mathematician Reverend Thomas Bayes, on the other hand, quantified uncertainties as if they were bets placed on a roulette wheel. Throughout the 1940s and beyond, the Bayesian view gained the upper hand. Its conquest of scholarly journals helped mathematical modeling leap into financial practice. The idea was that all uncertainty could be reduced to probability distributions. Case-by-case judgment? Unnecessary. Returns could be maximized for the least risk simply by diversification.
by Jessica Pellien | Filed in: Mathematics | 1:27pm EST
In the immortal words of CodyJ, iTunes reviewer: “Who knew there would be videos of Cal. classes on iTunes?”
A popular mathematics professor at Princeton University, Adrian Banner designed his calculus review course to help highly motivated students ace calculus. And, as is often the case, out of the notes he developed for the course, a book was born–The Calculus Lifesaver.
To support the publication of the book, Princeton University Press and the author made video lectures of his course available online at our own Web site and through iTunes and other file download sites. These lectures (twenty-four, 2-hour lectures) have proven wildly successful by anyone’s measure–in 2008 the lectures were downloaded 92 million times, averaging over 7.6 million downloads a month.
Self-described “Enlightenment junkie” and economics expert Diane Coyle featured a discussion of books and bucks with Press Director Peter Dougherty on the new Enlightened Economist blog this past Friday. As more publishers are moving their reference titles to the Web, Coyle wondered (and Dougherty explained) why Princeton is increasing the number of physical reference titles in its list, using the recently released Princeton Encyclopedia of the World Economy edited by Kenneth Reinert and Ramkishen Rajan as something of a case study.
Read the post here to learn more about how the new encyclopedia came to be, what a stolen book might say about the state of the economy, and why the reference reader is due for a comeback.
Between those who have watched the Large Hadron Rap on YouTube, and regard the Large Hadron Collider at CERN as the all-time greatest inspiration to pop music, and those who await the imminent destruction of earth world by the black holes that the LHC is certain to create, everyone on the planet is accounted for.
You know what I’m talking about: The Large Hadron Collider, CERN’s giant particle accelerator on the border between France and Switzerland, may create ultra microscopic black holes capable of swallowing the world in a matter of months, putting an end to all misery.Long before the black-hole flap hit the New York Times, I was party to several internet discussions about the matter and contacted by a disciple of Otto Rossler, a European chemist who opposes the LHC because of the black-hole danger.The disciple, an artist, urgently requested that I come out publically in support of Rossler and denounce the LHC as a threat to mankind.Since then, Rossler has become the most visible opponent of the LHC, appearing in European newspaper, magazine, television, radio and YouTube interviews.He claims that according to his calculations the black holes produced by the LHC are indeed a threat to earth.Other LHC opponents, Walter Wagner and Luis Sancho, went so far to file suit in Hawaii to prevent the machine from being turned on.The suit was dismissed in October, 2008, on jurisdictional grounds.
Featuring commentary and interviews from Princeton University Press authors, the PUP Blog is a highly respected, timely and indispensable source for learning, understanding and reflection.
Arnold writes:So, if the demand for mortgages collapses, all it takes to get back to 2006 levels is for mortgage underwriters to take a 20 percent pay cut? In a world with no discontinuities, we would not get crazy subprime lending and sudden sharp drops in demand. The no-discontinuity world is what classical economists are trained to work with. Too bad it i […]
I have taken photos of birds that are so bad, out of focus, poorly exposed, wings cut off, etc. We all have, but why would anyone keep them? I delete them, especially when I can't identify them...hah. But I have to say, there are photos I should have deleted long ago that still sit in my collection. The Cooper's Hawk photo above is one of them....i […]
That’s the title of my piece in the Fin last week. As with my previous column, Catallaxy was out with a comment long before I got around to posting here, but it seemed to me to miss the point fairly comprehensively. Ever since the first signs of the global financial crisis emerged back in 2007, […]
Arnold writes:Suppose that a bunch of mortgage underwriters get laid off. There are two possible full employment equilibria. (a) They can be instantly employed as dishwashers at 20 cents an hour. (b)They can be employed as health insurance claims processors at a salary close to what they were making as mortgage underwriters. The reason that we don't obs […]
Kevin Outterson writes of “Hand Sanitizers as Agent Orange”: Over at CommonHealth, Aayesha rounds up the literature on the limits of hand sanitizers, but fails to mention the collateral damage to the skin microbiome. Alcohol-based hand sanitizers kill many bacteria, viruses and fungi, but they don’t selectively target pathogens. They kill a wide swath of [.. […]
1. Via Chris F. Masse, alligator eats capitalist. 2. Pizza topping mark-ups. 3. Markets in everything the culture that is Japan. 4. Trade Diversion economics blog. 5. Symposium on how to fix the housing market, including me. […]
Why are cell phone taxes so high? In the United States we tax cell phones more than beer. The usual explanations for high taxes, negative externalities and low elasticity of demand don’t seem to apply to cell phones. Our colleagues Thomas Stratmann and Matt Mitchell offer an answer based in political economy. …no single politician […]
Next week, I'm going to debate Modeled Behavior's Karl Smith on "How Deserving Are the Poor?" Logistics:Date: Wednesday, February 1Time: 6:00-9:00 PMLocation: Johnson Center Meeting Room A, George Mason University (Fairfax Campus)My strategy, as usual, is to use an uncontroversial moral premise to show that the status quo is absurd. The […]
There has been an increasing discussion about the proliferation of flawed research in psychology and medicine, with some landmark events being John Ioannides’s article, “Why most published research findings are false” (according to Google Scholar, cited 973 times since its appearance in 2005), the scandals of Marc Hauser and Diederik Stapel, two leading psyc […]
Justin Wolfers writes: Predictably enough, I spent yesterday reading lefty blogs trumpeting Corak’s analysis, and right-leaning blogs who didn’t want to believe the inequality-mobility link, endorsing Winship. But both missed the bigger picture implications. Either you’re convinced by Corak that the data can be trusted, and that they show there’s a strong li […]