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Hubbert’s Peak:
The Impending World Oil Shortage
New Edition
Kenneth S. Deffeyes
With new commentary by the author

One of Choice's Outstanding Academic Titles for 2002
Honorable Mention for the 2001 Award for Best Professional/Scholarly Book in Geography and Earth Science, Association of American Publishers

Paperback | 2008 | $25.95 | £20.95 | ISBN: 9780691141190
232 pp. | 6 x 9 1/4 | 25 halftones. 50 line illus.
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eBook | ISBN: 9781400829071 |
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In 2001, Kenneth Deffeyes made a grim prediction: world oil production would reach a peak within the next decade--and there was nothing anyone could do to stop it. Deffeyes's claim echoed the work of geophysicist M. King Hubbert, who in 1956 predicted that U.S. oil production would reach its highest level in the early 1970s. Though roundly criticized by oil experts and economists, Hubbert's prediction came true in 1970.

In this updated edition of Hubbert's Peak, Deffeyes explains the crisis that few now deny we are headed toward. Using geology and economics, he shows how everything from the rising price of groceries to the subprime mortgage crisis has been exacerbated by the shrinking supply--and growing price--of oil. Although there is no easy solution to these problems, Deffeyes argues that the first step is understanding the trouble that we are in.


Praise for the previous edition: "Deffeyes has reached a conclusion with far-reaching consequences for the entire industrialized world. . . . The 100-year reign of King Oil will be over."--Fred Guterl, Newsweek

Praise for the previous edition: "Deffeyes makes a persuasive case. . . . This is an oilman and geologist's assessment of the future, grounded in cold mathematics. And it's frightening."--Paul Raeburn, Scientific American

Praise for the previous edition: "Deffeyes writes with the taut reasoning of a scientist and the passion of someone raised in the industry. His background is ideal for this subject, and the book is a gem. . . . Read Hubbert's Peak--it's better to know what lies ahead than to be surprised too late to respond."--Brian J. Skinner, American Scientist

Praise for the previous edition: "A persuasive prophecy. Hubbert's story is important and needs to be told. I suspect that historians in years to come will recognise Hubbert's Peak as a historical turning point."--Tim Burnhill, New Scientist

Praise for the previous edition: "A most readable handbook. . . . If [Deffeyes] is right we have, at most, two or three years in which to prepare for yet another price shock, and to accelerate our move away from oil as fuel. The strength of the book lies in its solid background and well-explained basis for that single prediction."--Stuart Young, Nature

Praise for the previous edition: "An important new book."--Robert Kuttner, Boston Globe

Praise for the previous edition: "[Some] experts . . . worry that the global peak in production will come in the next decade. . . . A heavyweight has now joined this gloomy chorus. Kenneth Deffeyes argues in a lively new book that global oil production could peak as soon as 2004."--The Economist

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Table of Contents:

Preface to the 2008 Edition ix
Acknowledgments xv
CHAPTER 1: Overview 1
CHAPTER 2: The Origin of Oil 14
CHAPTER 3: Oil Reservoirs and Oil Traps 40
CHAPTER 4: Finding It 70
CHAPTER 5: Drilling Methods 88
CHAPTER 6: Size and Discoverability of Oil Fields 113
CHAPTER 7: Hubbert Revisited 133
CHAPTER 8: Rate Plots 150
CHAPTER 9: The Future of Fossil Fuels 159
CHAPTER 10: Alternative Energy Sources 176
CHAPTER 11: A New Outlook 186
Notes 191
Index 205

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