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Forward-Looking Decision Making:
Dynamic Programming Models Applied to Health, Risk, Employment, and Financial Stability
Robert E. Hall

Cloth | April 2010 | $39.50 / £27.95
144 pp. | 5 1/2 x 8 1/2 | 30 line illus.

Shopping Cart | Endorsements

Individuals and families make key decisions that impact many aspects of financial stability and determine the future of the economy. These decisions involve balancing current sacrifice against future benefits. People have to decide how much to invest in health care, exercise, their diet, and insurance. They must decide how much debt to take on, and how much to save. And they make choices about jobs that determine employment and unemployment levels. Forward-Looking Decision Making is about modeling this individual or family-based decision making using an optimizing dynamic programming model.

Robert Hall first reviews ideas about dynamic programs and introduces new ideas about numerical solutions and the representation of solved models as Markov processes. He surveys recent research on the parameters of preferences--the intertemporal elasticity of substitution, the Frisch elasticity of labor supply, and the Frisch cross-elasticity. He then examines dynamic programming models applied to health spending, long-term care insurance, employment, entrepreneurial risk-taking, and consumer debt.

Linking theory with data and applying them to real-world problems, Forward-Looking Decision Making uses dynamic optimization programming models to shed light on individual behaviors and their economic implications.

Robert E. Hall is the Robert and Carole McNeil Professor of Economics and Hoover Senior Fellow at Stanford University. He is the author of The Rational Consumer, Booms and Recessions in a Noisy Economy, and Digital Dealing.

Endorsement:

"Forward-Looking Decision Making provides interesting applications of the dynamic programming approach for analyzing individual decisions that balance current and future welfare. The subjects are timely and the book contains a good selection of topics, united by a common analytical theme."--John Ermisch, University of Essex

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For customers in the U.S., Canada, Latin America, Asia, and Australia

Cloth: $39.50 ISBN13: 978-0-691-14242-5

For customers in Europe, Africa, the Middle East, and India

Cloth: £27.95 ISBN13: 978-0-691-14242-5

Prices subject to change without notice

File created: 11/6/2009

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